By: Kartik Gupta
Reserve Bank of India unleashed a plethora of measures that could propel the Indian corporate bond market to global standards and eliminate the risks of large non-tradable exposure to a particular group.
The measures
include -
1. Staggered reduction of banks' loan exposure.
2. Increase participation by overseas investors in corporate bonds
3. Making
top rated bonds eligible for borrowing from RBI for liquidity needs.
RBI has
allowed brokers to participate in the corporate bond repo market as well to
enhance depth in the system. The dependence on bank credit will now come
down significantly with lower-rated corporates getting access to corporate bond
market.
THE WINNERS
Credit rating agencies: As
more and more firms begin visiting the bond market, they will need their bonds
to be rated by credit rating companies. Also, exposure of banks towards firms
and non-banking financial companies above Rs.200 crore, if unrated, will
attract a risk weight of 150%. This means banks will chase clients to get their
debt rated. Business will boom for rating agencies.
‘AAA’
rated corporates: Top-rated credit will always get the best price. In this
case, asking such firms to move to the bond market at a time when bank loan
rates are higher than bond yields benefits them immensely. A top-rated firm can
raise five-year money through bonds around 7.6% while borrowing from a bank
could cost it at least 9%.
Foreign
portfolio investors (FPIs): FPIs will find it easier to trade in corporate
bonds because of the direct access given to them now. Having removed the need
for middlemen a.k.a. banks and brokers, FPIs will find their cost of trading
come down and, thus, returns going up.
THE
LOSERS
Indian
banks: Firstly, there will be loss of business to the bond market as firms will
move from bank loans to issuing paper. Banks wanting to retain good clients and
willing to invest in bonds will have to settle for tighter spreads as bond
yields are at least 150 basis points lower than loan rates currently. Stepping
up to competition and bringing down loan rates will again result in loss of
margins for banks.
Low-rated
firms: Allowing banks to give a higher partial credit enhancement of 50% of
issue size will make it easier for low-rated firms to get investors. But a
partial credit enhancement to boost credit rating comes at a price as the banks
will charge a fee. Also, once better rated firms flood the bond market and
begin cornering investors, lower rated firms will find it even more difficult
to attract buyers.
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