By: Kartik Gupta
The government has
named three outside experts as members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), moving to a model followed in the developed
world.
The Appointments Committee of the Cabinet
on Thursday approved the names of Chetan Ghate, a professor at Indian
Statistical Institute; Pami Dua, director at Delhi School of Economics (DSE);
and Ravindra Dholakia, professor at Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad,
as MPC members.
“Ghate and Dua were chosen because they
are macro-economists of repute. Dholakia was selected because we needed
somebody who has a broader view on issues related to agriculture, poverty and
food inflation as the challenges before the committee will be diverse,” a
person involved in the process of selecting the experts said on condition of
anonymity. Ghate was part of the Technical Advisory Committee on monetary
policy to RBI while Dua runs a leading indicator project at DSE.
The experts will serve for
four years and are not eligible for re-appointment.
The members of the committee from RBI are
governor Patel, deputy governor R. Gandhi, who is also in charge of the
monetary policy, and executive director Michael Patra. The RBI governor will
have a casting vote in case of a tie.
The MPC framework replaces the current
system where the RBI governor and his internal team have complete control over
monetary policy. While a committee advises RBI on monetary policy decisions,
the central bank is under no obligation to accept its recommendations.
The US and the UK, too, have similar
panels in place, with representation from both the central bank and the
government.
The preamble in the RBI Act, as amended by
the Finance Act, 2016, now provides that the primary objective of India’s
monetary policy is to “maintain price stability, while keeping in mind the
objective of growth”.
The appointment of the MPC may have implications
for monetary policy, economists at Nomura Research, said in a note to clients
on Thursday. “The coming 4 October monetary policy meeting could now be MPC
based, although this is not yet confirmed and could be a challenge because of
the very few days left before the next policy meeting. In our view, all three
selected external members are reputed academicians and will be seen as credible
and independent experts,” they said.
RBI is now required to publish a monetary
policy report every six months explaining the sources of inflation and the
forecasts of inflation for the period between six to 18 months.If RBI fails to
meet the inflation target, it shall, in the report, give reasons for failure
and remedial actions as well as estimated time within which the inflation
target shall be achieved.
The MPC will strive to ensure
that the inflation target decided by the government and the central bank is
met. RBI has the mandate to adopt a retail inflation target of 4%, plus/minus 2
percentage points on either side, till 31 March 2021.
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